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Bull Market

Understanding Bull Markets

A bull market is a long period in which the prices of securities or assets continue to climb. A rising market happens in a healthy economy when prices rise due to increased investor confidence, a thriving economy, and low unemployment. 

Investors are eager to purchase and retain securities, which feeds and expands a bull market. Furthermore, a bull market is not limited to stock markets. 

It can also refer to price changes in industries heavily influenced by consumer confidence, such as bonds, commodities like gold or oil, foreign currencies, real estate, or other asset classes like cryptocurrencies. 

Any class experiencing these cycles can gain or lose value over time.

This name is supposed to have originated from the belief that bulls push upward with their horns, whereas bears swipe downward with their claws. Bullish or bearish conduct — these metaphors represent market price fluctuations.

What is a bull market?

In a bull stock market, investor confidence is high, and stock prices climb steadily. A bull market in commodities, such as gold or oil would represent a consistent increase in commodity prices.

Furthermore, a bull market does not always mean that all asset classes are in the same stage of their cycles. Some industries may perform well, while others may experience losses. 

Real estate, for example, may be in a bull market, while commodities prices may be in a bear market. They are not always correlated with a favorable economic climate, but they are generally.

How long do bull markets typically last?

Bull markets can last months or even years and frequently correspond with the four stages of the economic cycle: growth, peak, contraction, and through. 

The beginning of a bull market may also be a sign of economic success and expansion. It is hard to anticipate when a bull market will start and conclude. Specific dates can only be ascertained in retrospect.

A bull market begins when investors believe prices are starting to increase and will continue to climb. When investors are confident, they tend to buy and sell more stocks, causing stock prices to rise. It causes a bull market because prices rise in tandem with demand.

Let's take the crypto market as an example.

The cryptocurrency market can behave differently than the broader economy and investor mood. Bitcoin, the first digital currency, has had a volatile trading history since its introduction more than 10 years ago.

Capture d’écran 2022-06-15 à 14.14.01

Before plunging, bitcoin prices surpassed $20,000 during the latest crypto bull run in 2020. Bitcoin reached an all-time high of $66,000 in November 2021, with Ethereum trading at $4,700. Because cryptocurrency is very volatile, holders must keep an eye on current market possibilities.

Definition and indications of a bull market

A bull market is often defined as a 20% increase in prices over some time (months to years) following a 20% fall followed by another 20% reduction. 

A market correction phase occurs when prices increase or decrease by 10% or less.

Investors utilize three leading indicators to gauge market conditions:

  1. Increase in revenue

    Top-line revenue growth (TLR) refers to a company's gross turnover or sales. A high turnover rate indicates that a firm is experiencing top-line growth. 
    Furthermore, top-line growth should typically expand with GDP and is thus a reliable indicator of demand. In contrast, firm top-line growth demonstrates the investment potential for investors.
  2. Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio

    The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is an important indicator. When the stock price to earnings per share begins to climb, investors seek to sell their shares because if profits fall, the P/E ratio go down. Monitoring the P/E ratio assists investors in making investing decisions.
  3. Increase in profits

    When firms increase their profitability, it demonstrates promise. It motivates investors to purchase their shares, enticed by the high return on investment. 
    During a bull market, multiple private firms would often choose to undertake an initial public offering (IPO), owing to favorable economic conditions and strong investor confidence.

To summarize

Overall, no one knows when a bull market will end, and a bear market will begin. These market adjustments can occur gradually over time, and the precise dates can only be identified in retrospect. 

Understanding the broad direction of the market and general economic effects, on the other hand, might help one decide when and how to invest. And these moods, optimistic and bearish actions, mirror investors' feelings about their purchasing and selling.

LordToken | Jun 15, 2022